Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Chris Anderson's most profound TED talks

People love TED talks. I thought I would point out the four most profound TED talks according to TED curator Chris Anderson. These were listed in a Q/A with Chris via Reddit in early 2010 entitled "TED's Chris Anderson answers Reddit's questions".

In addition to providing direct links, the following provide the (cleaned-up) notes I took the time I first watched the videos.

  • Barry Schwartz on the paradox of choice
    • Official dogma - maximize welfare of citizens - maximize freedom (we do things on our own)
    • the way to maximize freedom is to maximize choice
    • choice->freedom->welfare
    • examples of choice 
      • buying things: supermarket choice, electronics, phone services -  crazy
      • health care... doctors give you choice - patent autonomy
      • identity - we get to invent/reinvent ourselves
      • family, used to be who, now everything - consuming questions
      • work - every minute of every day, from anywhere on the planet, decide whether we should be working
    • 2 negative effects
      • produces paralysis rather than liberation - people cannot choose at all - don't want to make the wrong decision
      • we end up less satisfied with the choice when there are more choice - could have made a different choice - regret subtracts from decision made
    • we just don't want to miss the opportunity
    • escalation of expectation 
      • do better but feel worse
      • expectations go up when there is so many options
      • never pleasantly suppressed
    • The secret to happiness is low expectations
    • who is responsible
      • you when there is a lot of choice
      • if there are few options - the world is responsible
    • official dogma is all wrong
      • more choice is better is totally wrong, there is a sweet spot
    • it's a problem of modern affluent societies 
    • abundance of choice: doesn't help, actually hurts
    • if everything is possible, you increase paralysis and decrease satisfaction
  • David Deutsch on our place in the cosmos
    • solar system is highly tailored to our survival
      • spaceship earth - we're safe in here
      • we're chemical scum on the outside of a typical rock, around typical star, etc.
    • both at odds and both false
    • typical place in the universe is emptiness - space
      • intergalactic space - a typical space, nothingness, light, vacuum, etc
    • we (humans) can explain things
      • we can observe, track, model, explanatory model, causal structure
      • our brains can create knowledge and grow it (explanations)
      • not physics, we create an open ended stream of explanations
    • we are very different 
      • we are a hub - we can work out the structure of everything else
      • amazing, given just in the laws of physics
    • we do it with 3 things: matter (computation), energy, evidence
      • evidence is everywhere for the taking
    • out in the normal part of the universe - none of these things are there (Wrong!)
    • intergalactic space does provide the prerequisites (hydrogen atoms)!
      • just missing knowledge 
    • cosmic knowledge based view
    • we can survive, and we can fail to survive
    • we just need the suitable knowledge is to survive, everything goes extinct
      • we want to be the exception 
      • our only hope, to create new knowledge
    • global warning - too late
      • been too late for a long time
      • we cannot always know - disaster exists and how to solve it
    • we need to focus on fixes
      • problems are solvable, problems are inevitable 
  • Dan Gilbert asks, Why are we happy?
    • human brain has nearly tripled in mass over last 2 million years
    • we gained new structures - frontal lobe, prefrontal cortex
    • prefrontal cortex is a experience simulator
    • winning the lottery and being a paraplegic are equally happy with there lives
    • impact bias - simulator can work badly
      • different outcomes are more different than they really are
      • bad things have far less impact than they actually have - major life trauma
    • happiness can be synthesized
    • psychological immune system
      • help change views of the world to feel better about the worlds they are in
    • we think happiness is a thing to be found
    • 2 types of happiness
      • naturally happiness - what we get when we get what we wanted
      • synthetic happiness - when we are happy with what we have
    • synthetic is every bit as real as natural
    • synthetic happiness - actually a change in the brain
      • demonstrated with people who cannot make new memories
    • dogma: freedom - choose - path to natural happiness
      • it is the enemy of synthesized happiness
    • accept the things you cannot change
    • reversible and irreversible decisions in test subjects
      • people stuck/limited are happier
      • people with choice are far less happy 
    • people prefer to have the choice but choice will lead to be less happiness
    • preferences can be good
      • we can overrate the differences between options
      • when unbounded we do crazy things, bounded is controlled
  • Steven Pinker on the myth of violence
    • recent history gives the impression that we have been horrifically violent
    • we think historically things were peaceful and harmonious existence
    • thesis
      • history was far more violent than we believe
      • there is a decline in violence over recent time
      • this is/may be the most peaceful time in history 
    • log time period to provide cases
    • millennium scale
      • hunter gatherer societies: more than likely to be killed by another
      • early civilizations: looking at the bible, very violent  
    • century scale
      • death penalty for most things, very violent 
      • log graph from middle ages to now, mass drop
      • elbow of graph (drop in violence) was the early 16th century
    • decade scale
      • decrease in wars, etc
      • decrease in deaths per year per war
    • year scale
      • decrease in homicide, small increase in the 60s, back down in the 90s
    • so many people are so wrong about something so important
      • we have much better press
      • there is a cognitive illusion - we simply remember the infrequent occurrences because they're shocking
      • guilt about indigenous peoples
    • why has violence declined?
      • anarchy - strike first out of fear 
        • can have a pact with neighbours, ends in bloodshed
        • the Leviathan - authority, an agency: the state
          • we mainly see anarchy now mainly in failed states, marfia's, etc
      • life is cheap
        • life appreciated more if violence is seen (media)
      • non-zero sum game
        • cooperation can benefit both parties
        • other people are more valuable alive than dead
      • expanding circle
        • empathy, naturally only applied extremely locally
        • more recently the circle has expanded family..clan...etc  
    • implications
      • why is there war/peace
      • what are we doing wrong/right
Note, that post provides many links to a host of excellent TED talks.

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